close
老話一句 超時..
而且...外面開票的聲音好大..

Argument51 第9篇 让砖头来得更猛烈些吧!
------摘要------
作者:寄托家园作文版普通用户 共用时间:33分55秒 286 words
从2004年2月20日16时22分到2004年2月20日16时33分
------题目------
The following appeared in a medical newsletter.
'Doctors have long suspected that secondary infections may keep some patients from healing quickly after severe muscle strain. This hypothesis has now been proved by preliminary results of a study of two groups of patients. The first group of patients, all being treated for muscle injuries by Dr. Newland, a doctor who specializes in sports medicine, took antibiotics regularly throughout their treatment. Their recuperation time was, on average, 40 percent quicker than typically expected. Patients in the second group, all being treated by Dr. Alton, a general physician, were given sugar pills, although the patients believed they were taking antibiotics. Their average recuperation time was not significantly reduced. Therefore, all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment.'
------正文------
In this argument, the author asserted that all patients with muscle strain should be advisied to take antibiotics as part of their treatment. To justify this conclusion, the author used several evidence to support his/her view. However, there are undiscovered fallacies in it which may cause this argument unconvincible.

In the first place, the number of two groups of patients is not specified and it may mislead our thinking. Even if Dr. Newland had specialized in sports medicine and accumulated lots of experiences for many years, it not appropriate to prove his/her expriment without giving unambiguously number of testee. According to statistics, results of ambiguous number of testee is not persuable enough.

Another fallicies is the relationship between these two group is not stated clearly. To demonstrate a result of an experiment, it is an indispensible factor for researcher to ascertain that there is only one variable attribute having directly influence on the result. In addition, it is not proper to let two different doctor handle the same experiment. Maybe Dr. pateints trusted in Dr. Newland had more confidence than Dr. Alton as a result of Dr. Alton's specialty; that is to say, Dr. Alton's specialty was physician and patients thought he could not contribute to this experiment a lot and mistrust him/her. It seems that the relationship was not well-defined, and it may lead to some bias. Hence, negligence of describing all factors let this argument unreasonable.

Furthermore, there was no denying that antibiotics has good influence on patients to some extent; nevertheless, the possibility of other medicine might have better effects and reduce average recuperation time can not be excluded. Admittedly, 40 percent of patients recoverd quicker than usual, it means 60 percent of them did not gain from this treatment. Therefore, it is not suitable to make a conclusion which advising patients to take antibiotics as part of their treatment is a right method.

To sum, to prevent this argument from these fallacies, the author should tries his/her best to gather more information and complement unsufficent evidences and makes this argument more reasonable.
arrow
arrow
    全站熱搜

    loveeee 發表在 痞客邦 留言(0) 人氣()